Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.641448 0.833415 1.050749 1.311817 1.613740 1.948935 2.346173
2025-03-16 0.372105 0.603988 0.903372 1.303299 1.809010 2.413676 3.177581
2025-03-23 0.244323 0.495837 0.862986 1.399296 2.126018 3.042857 4.253014
2025-03-30 0.154879 0.402332 0.811976 1.462235 2.397774 3.631284 5.316648
2025-04-06 0.092335 0.319637 0.749959 1.490350 2.615144 4.156030 6.323242
2025-04-13 0.046838 0.237256 0.660113 1.453371 2.726367 4.535858 7.150791
2025-04-20 0.024183 0.187207 0.610202 1.466445 2.904349 5.009289 8.115880
2025-04-27 0.011334 0.148416 0.567768 1.480929 3.079089 5.480038 9.088328
2025-05-04 0.003420 0.107059 0.500544 1.434482 3.146183 5.790774 9.842263
2025-05-11 0.000504 0.074475 0.437176 1.380074 3.189409 6.061269 10.541263
2025-05-18 0.000023 0.057012 0.407405 1.387544 3.335437 6.489676 11.475446
2025-05-25 NaN 0.038764 0.360576 1.346436 3.388373 6.771681 12.199722
2025-06-01 NaN 0.033909 0.365059 1.428368 3.676342 7.442786 13.528785
2025-06-08 NaN 0.024147 0.337942 1.428069 3.810307 7.872858 14.511188
2025-06-15 NaN 0.022381 0.351922 1.534901 4.154792 8.654074 16.038471
2025-06-22 NaN 0.018823 0.351924 1.604435 4.430051 9.329471 17.418909
2025-06-29 NaN 0.014214 0.338837 1.635712 4.630865 9.887087 18.630465
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008445 0.303777 1.596994 4.687483 10.204992 19.480046
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005660 0.288025 1.611287 4.851347 10.705651 20.618592
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003660 0.273825 1.626913 5.017290 11.212231 21.772817
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001574 0.242134 1.577484 5.040536 11.473006 22.546108
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000465 0.210909 1.519475 5.038771 11.687608 23.247924
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000163 0.198823 1.527473 5.182461 12.159532 24.363891